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First thing: do the latest legal setbacks spell the end of Donald Trump? | American News

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Donald Trump’s legal perils have become insurmountable and could dash the former US president’s hopes of a successful election return, according to political analysts and legal experts.

Trump and three of his adult children were accused of lying to tax collectors, lenders and insurers yesterday in a ‘stunning’ fraud scheme that routinely misrepresented the value of his properties to enrich himself.

The civil lawsuit, filed by the New York attorney general, came as the FBI investigated Trump’s possession of sensitive government documents at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida and a special grand jury in Georgia considered whether he and others had attempted to influence state election officials. after his defeat there by Joe Biden.

The former US president has repeatedly hinted that he intends to run for the White House again in 2024. But the cascade of criminal, civil and congressional investigations could still derail that bid.

  • What are the experts saying? “He finished,said Allan Lichtman, a history professor at the American University of Washington, who has accurately predicted every presidential election since 1984. “He has too many burdens, too much baggage to be able to run again even assuming he escapes. in prison, he escapes bankruptcy. I’m not sure he’ll escape prison.

  • Could the New York civil fraud trial bring down the Trump Organization? The restrictions Letitia James is seeking include bans from Trump and his children that would wrest his real estate empire out of his control, writes Hugo Lowell.

Biden slams Putin’s nuclear threats as ‘reckless’ in UN speech

Riot police arrest a protester during an anti-mobilization demonstration in Moscow last night. Photograph: Dmitry Serebryakov/AP

Joe Biden and Allied leaders reacted angrily to Vladimir Putin’s threats to use nuclear weapons and pledged to maintain support for Ukraine in the face of Russia’s partial mobilization and planned annexation of several regions Ukrainians.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy also ignored Putin’s moves to escalate the war, saying his country’s forces would continue their counteroffensive, giving Russia no respite to mobilize and dig into Ukrainian soil. .

The US president was speaking hours after Putin announced Russia’s first mobilization since World War II and warned that Moscow had “a lot of weapons to respond” to what he said were Western threats to its territory.

Since Putin’s announcement, more than 1,300 people have been arrested in 38 Russian cities, according to watchdog group OVD-Info. These are the biggest protests since Putin launched his invasion in February.

  • Why is Putin planning partial mobilityif we ? The British Ministry of Defense has said Russia needs manpower to continue its fight. “Moving is [in effect] an admission that Russia has exhausted its stockpile of combat-ready volunteers in Ukraine,” its daily intelligence briefing said today.

Democrats will struggle to keep control of Congress midterm, expert says

A view of the Capitol Building
“It’s a far cry from Democrats getting more than half.” Photograph: Brendan McDermid/Reuters

Since 1978, Ray Fair, professor of economics at Yale University, has used economic data to predict the results of US elections, writes Dominic Rushe. His stripped-down, strictly by the numbers approach has quite an impressive track record, usually coming within 3% of the final tally.

Unfortunately for Democrats — if Fair is on the right track again this time — the Biden administration will struggle to maintain control of Congress in November’s crucial midterm elections.

Elections are loud events and this year is no different. Recent polls suggest Joe Biden is on a roll, reclaiming some of the ground he had lost earlier in his presidency. Democrats passed major legislation. There was a big increase in the number of women registered to vote after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v Wade. Abortion rights pushed voters to the polls in dark red Kansas. Gasoline prices, if not headline inflation, are down. In the meantime, Donald Trump and the candidates he has backed are making headlines and helping Democrats get to vote.

But if Fair is right, the personalities and issues can largely be set aside: the economy is the signal behind the noise and Biden is still struggling.

  • What does Fair’s data predict? Using data dating back to the last 1916 Fair analysis, Democrats will get 46.7% of the national vote in November – up from 51.3% in 2020 when Biden defeated Donald Trump and took control of the House and a narrow majority in the Senate.

In other news…

Children receiving Covid vaccines
More than 1,400 children have died from Covid in the United States, and at least 533 of those deaths were in children under the age of five. Photograph: Justin Lane/EPA
  • According to CDC data, only about 6% of children under five have received the first Covid vaccine – the lowest rate of any age. Meanwhile, Biden said on Monday the pandemic was over — a message that could lead to a continued lag.

  • Conservative activist Virginia Thomas, wife of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, has agreed to participate in a voluntary interview with the House panel investigating the January 6 uprising, said his lawyer. Attorney Mark Paoletta said Thomas was “looking forward to answering questions from the committee.”

  • A Malaysian defensedubbed himself an entrepreneur Fat Leonardwho orchestrated one of the biggest corruption scandals in US military history, was arrested in Venezuela after fleeing before his sentencing, authorities say. The international manhunt for Leonard Glenn Francis ended with his arrest on Tuesday morning.

  • A former Minneapolis police officer who pleaded guilty to a state charge of aiding and abetting second-degree manslaughter in the murder of George Floyd was sentenced yesterday to three years. Thomas Lane is already serving a two-and-a-half-year federal sentence for violating Floyd’s civil rights.

Stat of the Day: Two Companies Control 40% of the Global Commercial Seed Market and Dominate the Global Food Chain

Syngenta Logo
Syngenta is majority owned by the Chinese government through Sinochem and ChemChina. Photography: Arnd Wiegmann/Reuters

The dominance of a small number of large corporations in the global food chain is growing, aided by the growing use of ‘big data’ and artificial intelligence, research shows. Just two companies control 40% of the global commercial seed market, compared to 10 companies controlling the same proportion of the market 25 years ago, according to the ETC Group, an eco-justice organisation. Agricultural commodity trading is also concentrated, with 10 commodity traders in 2020 dominating a market worth half a trillion dollars.

Don’t miss this: I love you but I don’t want to see you for the next six weeks; the case of a “sabbatical marriage”

Drawing
Is the sabbatical just a waiting room for divorce? Illustration: Spencer Wilson at Synergy/the Guardian

It’s not a divorce, a trial separation or a chance for a guilt-free affair, just an opportunity for husbands and wives to live apart, forget all the little irritations and realize how much they missing. At least that’s the theory. The idea was coined by Cheryl Jarvis in 1999, who designed a marriage sabbatical very much in the style of the workplace sabbatical – taken to pursue a dream of your own. But what if you don’t have a dream or a plan – and if you don’t care about the hike and your only goal is to get away from your spouse? Is the sabbatical just a waiting room for divorce?

Climate report: Denmark offers “loss and damage” financing to poorer countries for climate degradation

Flood-displaced people gather to receive food aid at a camp after severe flooding in Sehwan, Pakistan.
Flood-displaced people gather to receive food aid at a camp after severe flooding in Sehwan, Pakistan. Photograph: Reuters

Groups of young people in Africa are preparing to embark on a series of climate protests tomorrow to highlight the problem of poor countries affected by climate breakdown, as only one rich country has so far stepped up funding to the problem. Denmark has become the first central government in a developed country to offer funding dedicated to “loss and damage” – which refers to the ravages of climate-related disasters that are so extreme that no protection against them is possible. No other developed country has indicated that it is likely to follow Denmark’s example.

Latest thing: The taste of kale makes unborn babies wince, research finds

4D ultrasound images of a fetus
The first study of fetal facial responses to tastes shows that the crying expression is twice as likely for kale as for carrot. Photo: Fetal Taste Preference Study/Fetal and Neonatal Research Laboratory/Durham University/PA

If the taste of kale makes you cringe, you’re not alone: ​​Researchers have observed fetuses putting on a crying expression when exposed to the greens in the womb. While previous studies have suggested our food preferences may start before birth, the team say the research is the first to directly examine unborn babies’ response to different flavors. Researchers are now looking to explore how babies react after birth to different flavors. “Hopefully we will see less negative reactions, if they were exposed to kale before birth,” said one.

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